Enrichment Talk by Dr.Alex Cook

Poster Ver 2.0

T-shirt for the graduating batch 2010

Dear Graduating Batch of 2010,

The AY2009/10 will soon be coming to an end and so will your degree course at NUS. In order to remind you of the exciting and adventurous time you spend during your university years, the NUS statistics committee has come up with a T-Shirt for the students graduating with a Statistics Major.The cost is partly subsidized.

You can choose round neck style or polo shirt style.

Price: $12 for round neck t-shirt
            $15 for polo shirt

Here is the design:

If you are interested, please place your order HERE.

Recruitment Talk 2010 - Vision Advisory (representing Manulife (S) Pte Ltd)

Discover Exciting Career Opportunities With Vision Advisory (representing Manulife (S) Pte Ltd)!!!!

Date: 17 March 2010

Time: 15:30 - 16:30

Venue: LT 21 (in Faculty of Science)

Please CLICK HERE to register for the talk. 
(or type in http://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?hl=en&formkey=dDZFMkw0eEc3d3dKYklCMXlDeGtreVE6MA in your web browser)

Or email to nusstatscom@gmail.com with your full name, Matriculation number, contacts and Faculty / year. 

Click on the poster to find out more=)

About Manulife Singapore:
Established in 1980, Manulife Singapore has for over two decades, grown from strength to strength. It has built a renowned reputation as a product innovator in the ever-changing financial services market. It aim to provide one-stop financial solutions to meet the financial needs of our customers at different stages of their lives. Through a multi-channel distribution strategy and network, it has grown the business significantly in recent years. Manulife Singapore employs close to 200 staff and has a team of nearly 1,300 professional Financial Planners, serving more than 169,000 clients and over 276,000 policies.
About Vision Advisory Branch
"We are one of the leading branches in Manulife Singapore. 
At Manulife, we take pride in helping individuals and families to realise their financial goals and dreams.
We also aim to build the most Professional and Competent Financial Planner, providing the best advice in Financial Protection & Wealth Management services that is tailored to every individual needs. If you are enthusiastic and willing to learn. We invite you to join us for an exciting and rewarding career!"
*(To be part of the team, you should be at least 21, Singaporean or PR)

Enrichment Talk (FUN!)

Hi Guys,

Hope u all have enjoyed your holiday^^

Here we introduce u to our new event & urge u to come down to our enrichment talk, to have a short break from the tense preparation of the midterm. Come and enjoy the fun topic while learning sth abt STATS that u might have been concealed from~~
KK, kp u no more~~Here are the topic and extract of the talk:

Projecting birth rates for all countries in the world Enrichment talk by Dr. Alkema, Asisstant Professor, Dept. of Statistics and Applied Probability "Demographers can no more be held responsible for inaccuracy in forecasting population 20 years ahead than geologists, meteorologists, or economists when they fail to announce earthquakes, cold winters, or depressions 20 years ahead. What we can be held responsible for is warning one another and our public what the error of our estimates is likely to be." (Demographer Nathan Keyfitz, 1981) The United Nations Population Division publishes projections of birth rates for all countries in the world, up to 2050. These projections are needed for population projections, to project how many people there will be in each country in 2050, and used for policy making. Assessing the uncertainty in the projections is important to be able to “hope for the best while preparing for the worst”. We developed a projection model to construct probabilistic projections of birth rates for all countries in the world, as the first step to construct probabilistic population projections. For high fertility countries, we project that birth rates will decline based on a demographic transition model. The parameters of the model are estimated for each high-fertility country using a Bayesian hierarchical model. For low-fertility countries like Singapore, a time series model is used to project future birth rates, based on the assumption that these rates will converge towards and fluctuate around replacement level fertility in the distant future. This research project is collaborative work with Adrian E. Raftery, Patrick Gerland, Samuel J. Clark, and Francois Pelletier (University of Washington, Seattle and UN Population Division). In this presentation I will explain the projection methodology and show results for some countries. The presentation is intended for undergraduate students who are interested in the application of statistics in demography. At the end of the presentation I’ll briefly discuss some other examples of how statistical methods are being used for estimating and projecting demographic outcomes as a further introduction into the interesting world of statistical demography.

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Have a nice day^^